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Future Trends of Software Engineering

Issues to shape our future – and change our present

For more mutual understanding in software engineering

In the software development industry, the academic and business worlds are drifting ever further apart: The gulf between the ivory towers and office desks continues to widen. Both sides would benefit from working more closely together. Our ‘Future Trends of Software Engineering’ (FToSE) initiative is designed to highlight this unwelcome development and to stimulate a discussion. It aims to increase mutual understanding of key themes and developments by improving communication on the major trends in software development.

#21Controlled agility is the secret to success

The potential of agile software development is still far from exhausted.

PRACTICE

We are currently witnessing the development of ‘two-speed IT’: Critical systems are still being developed in the traditional way, while companies take a radical, agile approach to everything else.

RESEARCH

Procedural models for software development still make as much sense as they always did. Agility is not a fundamental change, but it offers some useful features which should be integrated into procedural models.

SYNTHESIS

Agility shows huge promise for software development; it must not be wasted. Triggers for changes are appearing at ever shorter intervals, and they will eventually lead to IT departments taking on a completely new role within companies.

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#22Microservices are a great idea

They’re no cure-all, but they do give IT departments new capabilities.

PRACTICE

Microservices are a big step in the right direction. They allow specialists to connect varying architectures with each other.

RESEARCH

Architectural paradigms are actually quite stable. What started out as modularisation and became service-orientated architecture is now known as microservices.

SYNTHESIS

Microservices are brilliant for integration paradigms and new developments, but they are not a foundation for rebuilding existing landscapes.

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#23CPS Engineering is a new discipline

Cyber-physical systems are a digital transformation you can get your hands on

PRACTICE

Cyber-physical systems are leading to new business models. And that’s not all: What with the arrival of the Internet of Things, the complexity of systems and interconnections is increasing dramatically. That is giving rise to new challenges.

RESEARCH

From a structural point of view, cyber-physical systems are nothing new. Mixtures of information systems and embedded software have always existed.

SYNTHESIS

CPS Engineering can build on existing knowledge, but it’s really a new specialist area.

#24Usability engineering is no flash in the pan

Success is determined on the interface

PRACTICE

Users want nice-looking interfaces. If they don’t get them, they will dismiss the software as useless and move on to something else.

RESEARCH

Usability is actually quite important. That’s why usability engineering has to be integrated into the software process.

SYNTHESIS

For applications that rely heavily on interfaces, as well as mobile and other unconventional apps, usability is the key to success – which makes it an important factor.

#25Damage prevention is no walk in the park

It may not be a nice topic – but it is hugely important

PRACTICE

As long as software is made by people, it will contain errors. There are a variety of reasons for them and, in socio-technical systems, they are not always predictable, either.

RESEARCH

In recent years, the academic world has developed a number of frameworks for solving the problem of errors in software projects. If we stick to these frameworks in practice, there will be no more errors.

SYNTHESIS

Errors can be reduced significantly, but only by working in a consistent, systematic way.

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#26Software systems are becoming software landscapes

The big picture has to be right down to the last detail

PRACTICE

Complex software landscapes develop in an evolutionary way because companies build (or buy) each individual system on the basis of what is quickest and most profitable for them.

RESEARCH

Specialists implement complex software landscapes as ‘systems of systems’, meaning a uniform standard architecture which ensures that stand-alone systems can be connected to each other for specific applications.

SYNTHESIS

Integration scenarios are rarely clear in advance. Each individual system must be designed to be integrated, and be capable of making its own contribution to the evolution of the system.

#27Data is more important than algorithms

From data comes knowledge

PRACTICE

The cloud is good at dealing with calculation complexity, so the key is usually gathering larger quantities of relevant data.

RESEARCH

Processing vast amounts of data – and the associated increase in calculation complexity – in modern application scenarios requires fast, efficient algorithms.

SYNTHESIS

More attention must be paid to data gathering in big data applications. Companies can rely on proven infrastructure for processing. Optimising algorithms is really about doing the fundamental research.

#28The only certainty is uncertainty

In the beginning, the end is just a vague idea

PRACTICE

The initial phase of software development is still decisive. This is where you have to gain a general overview of the requirement – and it’s got to be good. As the project progresses, this allows the people in charge of it to recognise what’s important.

RESEARCH

It is impossible to produce a comprehensive advance description for socio-technical systems (i.e., an organised quantity of people and technology). That’s why we need procedures to deal with requirements that only arise once development has started.

SYNTHESIS

It’s worth taking plenty of time to study the big picture. Small details can become more important as development progresses. This requires constant re-prioritisation, and willingness to make some brave changes.

#29Value is the yardstick

The focus must always be on how the software will be used

PRACTICE

If everyone knows what they are doing, they produce valuable software that also represents value for money for the customer.

RESEARCH

There are plenty of metrics for software productivity (starting with function points), but only a few approaches to value-orientated development.

SYNTHESIS

Software has to be developed with value in mind. This means that there must be a systematic focus on value in development projects, and it must be integrated into procedures.

#30Cognitive computing is king

The revolution is coming

PRACTICE

Dealing with large volumes of data, finding patterns in them and making the right changes automatically are important drivers of digital transformation. But just how technology should be combined to do these things is not always fully clear.

RESEARCH

As calculation capacity increases, the promises artificial intelligence made in the 1980s are slowly becoming reality.

SYNTHESIS

Cognitive computing techniques must be integrated with traditional information systems.

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